The Green Post Ireland
Copa del Rey, Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona, Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Atlético’s last five read D W L D W, Barcelona arrive W W W W W. Barcelona have won four of the last six meetings. A place in the final is at stake, with no margin for error in a semi-final setting.
Atlético Madrid Review & Recent Form
Competition situation
Atlético Madrid are targeting domestic silverware, with the Copa offering a direct route to a trophy if they navigate this semi-final.
Last five matches: D W L D W
The run includes a narrow 0–1 defeat to Real Betis and controlled defensive displays in recent fixtures.
Atlético have conceded only 4 goals in their last six matches. Their defensive structure remains compact, often limiting opponents to fewer than five shots on target. However, chance creation fluctuates when facing high-possession teams, particularly when transitions are restricted.
At home, Atlético typically push fullbacks forward selectively, maintaining central compactness to protect against counter-attacks.
Barcelona Review & Recent Form
Competition situation
Barcelona are pursuing multiple domestic objectives and approach this semi-final with momentum, knowing progression secures another final appearance.
Last five matches: W W W W W
The sequence includes a 3–0 win over Mallorca and dominant attacking displays.
Barcelona have scored 19 goals in their last six matches, averaging over 3 per game. Possession regularly exceeds 60%, with high shot volume sustained through wide rotations and quick third-man combinations. Defensive numbers remain stable despite injuries, conceding fewer than one goal per match in this stretch.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | La Liga | Barcelona 3–1 Atlético Madrid |
| 2024–2025 meetings | Various | Barcelona 4 wins, Atlético 1 win, 1 draw |
The last six meetings produced 25 total goals, averaging 4.17 per match. Barcelona have outscored Atlético 11–5 across that span.
Lineups, Injuries & Suspensions
Atlético Madrid report no major new suspensions ahead of kickoff.
Barcelona will be without Gavi, Pedri, and Andreas Christensen due to injury. Despite these absences, midfield control has remained effective through rotation and positional adjustments.
Odds, Markets & Betting Tips
- 1X2: Atlético 3.10–3.30 | Draw 3.40–3.60 | Barcelona 2.10–2.25
- Both teams to score: 1.60–1.75
- Over 2.5 goals: 1.75–1.90
- Barcelona draw no bet: 1.55–1.65
- Correct score range 1–2 or 1–1: 7.00–9.00
Barcelona’s attacking form supports goal-based markets. The main risk for overs lies in Atlético slowing tempo and compressing space between lines to limit high-quality chances.
Where to Watch Online & Kickoff Time
The match will be broadcast by official Copa del Rey partners and licensed streaming services.
Kickoff time: 13/02/2026, 21:00 local time.
Prediction: Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona, Copa del Rey
Barcelona hold a narrow edge through attacking consistency and recent head-to-head dominance. Atlético’s defensive organisation may limit clear chances, but sustained pressure could create late openings. The main risk comes from Atlético capitalising on transitional moments if Barcelona commit numbers forward.
- Final Prediction: Atlético Madrid 1–2 Barcelona
- Best Bet: Both teams to score – Yes
- Alternative Value: Barcelona draw no bet
